Research Reports
A Study on Modelling and Management of the OECD World Agricultural Outlook Model, Aglink 2007
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AuthorCho, Youngsu
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Publication Date2007.12.01
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Original
Aglink model is a dynamic recursive simulation model and a demand-supply partial equilibrium model of the world agricultural sector. The model was developed by the OECD Secretariat in cooperation with member countries in 1993 and has been used to carry out the OECD world agricultural outlook and simulate for various policy analysis.
As this study will be carried out continuously year by year, the final aim is to build sufficient application capacity to analyses the world agriculture market in KREI(Korea Rural Economic Institute) and to indicate future directions of Korea agricultural policies. The major research contents of this year are as follows.
In the 1st chapter, The research background, aims of this study, review of preceding researches and brief explanation of imported variables and the structure of each nations in Aglink 2007 model are introduced. In addition, the commodity price, production, consumption of the world agricultural market are introduced, which based on OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2007.
In the 2nd chapter, we reviewed on current status and outlook of world bioenergy based on agricultural products and introduced the outlook of raw material agricultural products.
In the 3th chapter, we made up the international crops demand & supply model with a OECD-Aglink DB and outlook forecast, and analyzed the effects which came up to the world and Korea agricultural market by a few possible scenarios accompanied by the changes of bioenergy resource crops consumption.
Researchers: Young-Su Cho, Bae-Sung Kim and Young-Ho Lee
e-mail Address: yscho@krei.re.kr
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