Research Reports
A Study on Modelling and Management of the OECD World Agricultural Outlook Model, Aglink 2004
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AuthorKim, Baesung
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Publication Date2004.12.01
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Original
Aglink model is a dynamic ex-anti simulation model and demand-supply partial equilibrium model for the world agricultural sector. The model was developed by the OECD Secretariat in cooperation with member countries in 1993 and has been used to produce the OECD world agricultural outlook and simulation for various policy analysis.
This study will be continuously carried out each year to achieve the sufficient application capacity to analyze the world agriculture market. And the objective of this year study is to carry out various application analyses.
Main contents of this study are listed as follows: The research background, aims of this study, review of preceding researches and brief explanation of imported variables in Aglink 2004 model are introduced in the first chapter.
In the second chapter, the forecast values and main analytical points on the world agricultural market are listed. And the baseline results drawn out by Aglink 2004 are introduced.
Also, the current status and outlook of the world rice market and the Chinese rice demand-supply status and its implications are analyzed in the third and fourth chapter. Additionally, in the fifth chapter, the impact of BSE outbreak on the Korean beef and veal market is described.
Finally, in the sixth chapter, the Korean rice module and suggestions for more robust module are presented.
Researchers: Bae-Sung Kim, Sung-Yeol Jo, and Byong-Hoon Lee
E-mail Address: bbskim@krei.re.kr, itschosy@krei.re.kr, shopper@krei.re.kr
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