Research Reports
Forecasts on the Rural Population Size, Labor Forces in the Agricultural Sector, and Responding Policy Task
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AuthorKim, Kyeongduk
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Publication Date2004.12.01
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Original
ABSTRACT
This study is aimed to analyze the dynamic mechanism of migration from the rural to urban area. Under the purpose, forecasting was conducted on the size of rural population and farm households by gender and age. Migration factors by region and sector were analyzed according to the characteristics of the regions.
In particular, the regional population elasticity, the farm household family elasticity, and the labor elasticity in the manufacturing sector and the marketing sector were analyzed at the regional level. Furthermore, it is empirically proven that the dynamic mechanism of migration at the regional level is asymmetric according to characteristics of the population.
For the policy task to maintain population and labor forces in the agricultural sector, it was suggested to integrate existing multiple regional development policies into one policy, which is more effective. Plus, it would be better to develop a regional hub and the regional network system.
Researcher: Kyeong-Duk Kim
E-Mail Address: kdkim@krei.re.kr
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