Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to show the sampling method in livestock outlook
and the forecasting models, particularly focusing on Korean-cattle outlook.
Sampling technique of the livestock farmers is explained in detail, according to
statistical theory. And an example is introduced how to analyze the results of
the survey. The Korean-cattle forecasting models which have been used for this
outlook are illustrated. The production function of calf and slaughter function
of cattle, each breeding stock function are estimated. To strengthen the quality
of outlook information, it is necessary to interpret the indexes of farmers'
intention dynamically. Consideration of such indexes in the forecasting are
introduced in the latter part.
목 차
1. 한육우 관측사업 개요
2. 표본농가 조사 및 분석방법
3. 한육우 관측 모형
4. 향후
과제
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to show the sampling method in livestock outlook
and the forecasting models, particularly focusing on Korean-cattle outlook.
Sampling technique of the livestock farmers is explained in detail, according to
statistical theory. And an example is introduced how to analyze the results of
the survey. The Korean-cattle forecasting models which have been used for this
outlook are illustrated. The production function of calf and slaughter function
of cattle, each breeding stock function are estimated. To strengthen the quality
of outlook information, it is necessary to interpret the indexes of farmers'
intention dynamically. Consideration of such indexes in the forecasting are
introduced in the latter part.
