| Analysis of impacts on indigenous Fruits and Fruits- Vegetables Sector from diversified fruit imports and issues to cope with | |||
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| Author | Yoon, Jongyeol | ||
| Views | 89656 | Publication Date | 2020.03.04 |
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Research Background Since the opening of its agricultural market in the 1990s, the market opening scope expanded along with the conclusion of the free trade agreement (FTA), and the volume of fruit imports started to surge. Lately, not only the import volume gets bigger, but also the imported items and the countries of origin become more diversified. Amid this trend, local fruits have to compete with imported ones in the market. Korean consumers‘ preference for imported fruits is getting high as more people consume imported fruits with unique taste and get familiar with them. As a result, the production base of indigenous fruits has contracted, and consumption has slowed down, too. The scope of fruit market opening is likely to get bigger, because of the expansion of the FTA and changes in agricultural trades along with Korea’s relinquishment of WTO’s developing-country status. Consequently, fruit imports will increase, and types of fruits imported will get diverse. So it is time to discuss policy solutions to the supply-demand instability of local fruits and In Korea, tomatoes, cherry tomatoes, strawberries, oriental melons, watermelons, etc. are often categorized into fruit-vegetables. fruit-vegetables. This study aims to assess the overall status of fruit imports and local fruit production and to analyze the preferences and purchasing behaviors of Korean consumers. Also, this study is to identify imported fruits that can replace local ones and to examine what impacts an increase in the import of such fruits has on the supply-demand side of local fruits and fruit-vegetables. By generalizing such analysis outcomes, the study aims to come up with solutions to maintain the domestic production base and to expand consumption. Research Methodology To examine the background of import expansion, the status of domestic production and consumption, the trends and characteristics of diversified importing sources, and the state of domestic cultivation of subtropical fruit trees, we collected related statistical data and studied relevant literature. Also, we visited organizations and companies for a survey. We conducted a survey targeting 1,000 homemakers or one-person families to inspect purchasing behaviors for imported or local fruits and fruit-vegetables. Also, we commissioned an external expert to write a manuscript for analysis of economic and demographic factors that influence consumer preferences and purchasing behaviors for imported fruits. With regards to analysis on substitution relationship between imported and indigenous fruits, we used the monthly transaction data of wholesale markets for the past 19 years from 2000 to 2018 to examine whether their shipment timings are overlapping. We carried out an empirical analysis of substitution relationships by building a linear approximation inverse/ almost ideal demand system (LA/IAIDS). We analyzed the impacts on local fruits by imported substitutes by creating a partial equilibrium model composed of econometric equations. To examine overseas examples to cope with the expansion of fruit imports, we collected and translated the statistical data of Japan’s fruit imports and the bibliographic data of its policy for the fruit industry. Besides, we visited China to see its fruit production and import state, and the government’s policy trends for the fruit industry. To draw policy tasks in terms of production and consumption for the supply-demand stability of indigenous fruits and fruit-vegetables, we hosted a consultative meeting to listen to opinions of experts from the National Agricultural Cooperative Federation, local governments, and the Rural Development Administration. (The rest is omitted. See the attached file for details.) Researchers: Yoon Jongyeol, Park Kihwan and Park han-ul Research period: 2019. 1. ~ 2019. 10. E-mail address: jyyoon0712@krei.re.kr |
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